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March / April 2003

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Drought hampers India's economic growth

A severe drought has hampered India's attempts to return to strong economic growth but an industrial rebound is cushioning the country from shocks such as the Iraq crisis, the government's annual economic survey said February 27, 2003.

The finance ministry survey said the failure of the monsoon rains had also increased pressure on the high government budget deficit.

The effect of the drought on agriculture "clouds an across the-board improvement in the growth performance of industry and services", the survey said. Seventeen of India's 29 states experienced a drought last June and July, including the country's breadbasket northern states.

The survey said despite economic growth of 6.0 percent and 5.8 percent in the first two quarters of the financial year to March from a year earlier, the growth rate for the full year is forecast at 4.4 percent, down from 5.6 percent in the previous year.


Chambers Worried Over Rising Budget Deficit of India

Welcoming the positive industry outlook in the Economic Survey, apex industry bodies Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) expressed concerns over the rising Budget deficit.

FICCI said the Survey has laid out a clear roadmap for achieving a growth target of 8 percent for the 10th Plan period. "It has highly identified technology, competition and benchmarking to be the best international practices as the three drivers for rapid growth," said FICCI president AC Muthiah, adding that, "this had lifted India's consumer goods, automobiles and telecom sectors to higher growth trajectory with better quality to customers, and the same now needs to be extended to agriculture."

CII president Ashok Soota said the Survey had highlighted a positive outlook for the industry, but that the burgeoning Centre-state deficit was a key area of concern.

Mr. Soota highlighted other areas of concern such as public finance and the govt's management of the food economy. However, CII has declared that the industry is in agreement with Survey's assessments.


Bangladesh to decide on gas exports

Bangladesh will decide 'soon' whether to export natural gas to India, the government said, after six years of weighing the prospect of big earnings against worries about depleting limited reserves.

Foreign oil companies prospecting in Bangladesh have been pressing since 1996 for approval to export natural gas by pipeline to neighbouring India, saying the impoverished South Asian country could earn $ 500 million a year.

Authorities have been deferring a decision amid concern that such exports could deplete the nation's reserves and leave in unable to meet its domestic needs.

The US-based gas firm Unocal Corp has proposed building a 1,360 kilometer pipeline from northeast Bangladesh across to border into India.


Bangladesh introduces travel tax

Foreigners traveling out of Bangladesh will be charged a travel tax of up to $43 depending on their destination. Previously only Bangladeshis traveling abroad had to pay the tax. The charge will be 800 taka ($13.79) for travel from Bangladesh to other South Asian countries, 1,800 taka ($31) for the Middle East and $43 for the rest of the world. The tax will be collected at airports, seaports or land crossings. It will not be charged to children, cancer patients or people with disabilities, or to diplomats and airline crews.


Pakistan encourage foreign investment

Pakistan's new privatization chief has a daunting task trying to encourage foreign investment at a time when violence against Westerners is on the rise and fear has kept many away.

The task is an important one, Hafeez Sheikh said in a interview. While Pakistan's economy has galloped in the past three years, overseas investment has dwindled and sales of state owned assets to foreign investors has been slow.

Prime Minister Zafarullah Khan Jamali's government wants privatization to help raise as much as US$2.5 billion for state coffers a task left over by the military regime of President Gen. Pervez Musharraf, which managed to raise only US$600 million in the last three years.

The government has set a goal of US$1 billion in foreign investment this year, a mark reached only once before.


Sri Lanka needs international help

The Asian Development Bank recently urged the international community to help rebuild Sri Lanka, even before the country reaches a final settlement to end its civil war.

ADB President Tadao Chino visited Sri Lanka recently and traveled to the island's north, where he discussed development projects with officials from the Tamil Tiger rebels, who have been fighting a separatist war for nearly two decades.

"We need to provide continued assistance to sustain and enhance the peace process while waiting for a lasting peace," Chino told reporters in the capital, Colombo.

The ADB provides US$200 million in annual assistance to Sri Lanka and may increase that after a donor conference in Tokyo in June.


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